Mike Croley vs. Johnny Garrett polls and 2026 forecast (Tennessee's 6th District)
Our forecast gives Johnny Garrett (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Garrett +19.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Garrett +27.5 and Garrett +10.8. Incumbent: John Rose. 2024 presidential result here: R+26.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works