Chaz Molder vs. Charlie Hatcher polls and 2026 forecast (Tennessee's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Charlie Hatcher (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hatcher +13.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hatcher +19.9 and Hatcher +6.5. Polling average: Hatcher +10.7 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Andy Ogles. 2024 presidential result here: R+23.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works