Victoria Broderick vs. Scott DesJarlais polls and 2026 forecast (Tennessee's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Scott DesJarlais (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: DesJarlais +17.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between DesJarlais +25.0 and DesJarlais +10.1. Incumbent: Scott DesJarlais (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+24.3.
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