Kristi Burke vs. Diana Harshbarger polls and 2026 forecast (Tennessee's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Diana Harshbarger (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Harshbarger +53.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Harshbarger +60.6 and Harshbarger +46.1. Incumbent: Diana Harshbarger (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+58.4.
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