John Vincent vs. Russell Fry polls and 2026 forecast (South Carolina's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Russell Fry (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fry +18.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fry +24.7 and Fry +11.6. Polling average: Fry +9.3 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Russell Fry (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+26.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works