Nancy Lacore vs. Jenny Costa Honeycutt polls and 2026 forecast (South Carolina's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) a 57% chance of winning (rating: Toss-up), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Honeycutt +1.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Honeycutt +7.5 and Lacore +5.7. Polling average: Honeycutt +0.4 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Nancy Mace. 2024 presidential result here: R+13.2.
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