Seth Magaziner vs. Vic Mellor polls and 2026 forecast (Rhode Island's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Seth Magaziner (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Magaziner +19.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Magaziner +14.0 and Magaziner +26.0. Polling average: Magaziner +16.7 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Seth Magaziner (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+6.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works