Rachel Wallace vs. Dan Meuser polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Dan Meuser (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Meuser +32.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Meuser +40.1 and Meuser +25.4. Incumbent: Dan Meuser (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+38.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works