Brendan Boyle vs. Jessica Arriaga polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Brendan Boyle (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Boyle +48.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Boyle +40.9 and Boyle +55.6. Incumbent: Brendan Boyle (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+36.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works