Ray Bilger vs. Glenn Thompson polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 15th District)
Our forecast gives Glenn Thompson (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Thompson +33.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Thompson +40.9 and Thompson +26.4. Incumbent: Glenn Thompson (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+38.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works