Summer Lee vs. James Hayes polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 12th District)
Our forecast gives Summer Lee (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Lee +24.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Lee +17.5 and Lee +32.1. Incumbent: Summer Lee (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+19.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works