Janelle Stelson vs. Scott Perry polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Janelle Stelson (D) an 87% chance of winning (rating: Likely D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Stelson +5.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Perry +0.8 and Stelson +11.6. Polling average: Stelson +3.5 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Scott Perry (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+5.3.
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