Bob Harvie vs. Brian Fitzpatrick polls and 2026 forecast (Pennsylvania's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Brian Fitzpatrick (R) an 81% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fitzpatrick +4.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fitzpatrick +10.2 and Harvie +2.0. Polling average: Fitzpatrick +5.3 across 6 polls. Incumbent: Brian Fitzpatrick (R). 2024 presidential result here: D+0.3.
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