Val Hoyle vs. Monique DeSpain polls and 2026 forecast (Oregon's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Val Hoyle (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hoyle +19.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hoyle +12.2 and Hoyle +26.7. Incumbent: Val Hoyle (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+12.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works