Suzanne Bonamici vs. Barbara Kahl polls and 2026 forecast (Oregon's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Suzanne Bonamici (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bonamici +48.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bonamici +41.6 and Bonamici +56.1. Incumbent: Suzanne Bonamici (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+39.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works