Jena Nelson vs. Stephanie Bice polls and 2026 forecast (Oklahoma's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Stephanie Bice (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bice +11.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bice +17.9 and Bice +5.3. Polling average: Bice +8.0 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Stephanie Bice (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+18.1.
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