Mitchell Jacob vs. Tom Cole polls and 2026 forecast (Oklahoma's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Tom Cole (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cole +29.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Cole +37.0 and Cole +22.5. Incumbent: Tom Cole (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+33.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works