Joshua Kolasinski vs. Jim Jordan polls and 2026 forecast (Ohio's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Jim Jordan (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Jordan +36.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Jordan +43.3 and Jordan +28.7. Incumbent: Jim Jordan (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+43.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works