Jerrad Christian vs. Troy Balderson polls and 2026 forecast (Ohio's 12th District)
Our forecast gives Troy Balderson (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Balderson +25.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Balderson +32.5 and Balderson +18.0. Incumbent: Troy Balderson (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+30.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works