Kristina Knickerbocker vs. Mike Turner polls and 2026 forecast (Ohio's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Mike Turner (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Turner +9.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Turner +15.9 and Turner +3.8. Polling average: Turner +11.8 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Mike Turner (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+7.9.
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