Yvette Clarke vs. Joel Azumah polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Yvette Clarke (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Clarke +53.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Clarke +46.2 and Clarke +60.6. Incumbent: Yvette Clarke (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+41.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works