Claire Valdez vs. Melvin Rivera polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Claire Valdez (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Valdez +54.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Valdez +45.9 and Valdez +62.4. Incumbent: Nydia Velázquez. 2024 presidential result here: D+47.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works