Grace Meng vs. Joseph Chou polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 6th District)
Our forecast gives Grace Meng (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Meng +25.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Meng +18.4 and Meng +33.1. Incumbent: Grace Meng (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+6.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works