Gregory Meeks vs. George Marsh polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Gregory Meeks (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Meeks +54.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Meeks +47.4 and Meeks +61.8. Incumbent: Gregory Meeks (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+42.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works