Laura Gillen vs. Jeanine Driscoll polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Laura Gillen (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gillen +15.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gillen +8.4 and Gillen +23.0. Incumbent: Laura Gillen (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+1.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works