Tom Suozzi vs. Mike LiPetri polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Tom Suozzi (D) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Suozzi +13.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Suozzi +6.0 and Suozzi +20.6. Incumbent: Tom Suozzi (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+4.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works