Aaron Gies vs. Nick Langworthy polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 23rd District)
Our forecast gives Nick Langworthy (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Langworthy +19.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Langworthy +25.8 and Langworthy +13.3. Polling average: Langworthy +19.5 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Nick Langworthy (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+21.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works