Ritchie Torres vs. Stylo Sapaskis polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 15th District)
Our forecast gives Ritchie Torres (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Torres +61.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Torres +53.8 and Torres +68.3. Incumbent: Ritchie Torres (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+48.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works