Darializa Avila Chevalier vs. Jomo Williams polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 13th District)
Our forecast gives Darializa Avila Chevalier (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Chevalier +66.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Chevalier +58.3 and Chevalier +74.7. Incumbent: Adriano Espaillat. 2024 presidential result here: D+60.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works