Brad Lander vs. Jennifer Moore polls and 2026 forecast (New York's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Brad Lander (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Lander +68.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Lander +59.8 and Lander +76.3. Incumbent: Dan Goldman. 2024 presidential result here: D+61.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works