Teresa Benitez-Thompson vs. David Flippo polls and 2026 forecast (Nevada's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives David Flippo (R) an 85% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Flippo +5.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Flippo +11.9 and Benitez-Thompson +1.5. Polling average: Flippo +1.9 across 3 polls. Incumbent: Mark Amodei. 2024 presidential result here: R+14.3.
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