Rebecca Bennett vs. Thomas Kean Jr. polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Rebecca Bennett (D) an 84% chance of winning (rating: Likely D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bennett +4.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Kean +1.4 and Bennett +11.1. Polling average: Bennett +4.5 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Thomas Kean Jr. (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+1.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works