Josh Gottheimer vs. Sean Kirrane polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Josh Gottheimer (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Gottheimer +18.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Gottheimer +11.2 and Gottheimer +26.0. Incumbent: Josh Gottheimer (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+1.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works