Adam Hamawy vs. Gregg Mele polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey's 12th District)
Our forecast gives Adam Hamawy (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hamawy +32.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hamawy +24.3 and Hamawy +41.0. Incumbent: Bonnie Watson Coleman. 2024 presidential result here: D+24.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works