Analilia Mejia vs. Joe Hathaway polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey's 11th District)
Our forecast gives Analilia Mejia (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Mejia +20.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Mejia +12.9 and Mejia +27.4. Incumbent: Analilia Mejia (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+8.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works