Donald Norcross vs. Damon Galdo polls and 2026 forecast (New Jersey's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Donald Norcross (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Norcross +27.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Norcross +20.3 and Norcross +35.1. Incumbent: Donald Norcross (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+19.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works