Becky Stille vs. Adrian Smith polls and 2026 forecast (Nebraska's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Adrian Smith (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Smith +51.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Smith +58.8 and Smith +44.3. Incumbent: Adrian Smith (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+54.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works