Trygve Hammer vs. Julie Fedorchak polls and 2026 forecast (North Dakota's at-large House seat)
Our forecast gives Julie Fedorchak (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fedorchak +33.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fedorchak +40.4 and Fedorchak +25.7. Incumbent: Julie Fedorchak (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+37.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works