Colby Watson vs. Mark Harris polls and 2026 forecast (North Carolina's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Mark Harris (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Harris +14.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Harris +22.3 and Harris +7.5. Incumbent: Mark Harris (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+19.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works