Cyril Jefferson vs. Addison McDowell polls and 2026 forecast (North Carolina's 6th District)
Our forecast gives Addison McDowell (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: McDowell +12.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between McDowell +20.0 and McDowell +5.2. Incumbent: Addison McDowell (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+17.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works