Jamie Ager vs. Jennifer Balkcom polls and 2026 forecast (North Carolina's 11th District)
Our forecast gives Jamie Ager (D) a 64% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Ager +1.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Balkcom +5.0 and Ager +8.7. Polling average: Balkcom +1.7 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Chuck Edwards. 2024 presidential result here: R+9.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works