Ashley Bell vs. Pat Harrigan polls and 2026 forecast (North Carolina's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Pat Harrigan (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Harrigan +14.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Harrigan +21.5 and Harrigan +7.0. Polling average: Harrigan +9.9 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Pat Harrigan (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+17.9.
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