Don Davis vs. Laurie Buckhout polls and 2026 forecast (North Carolina's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Don Davis (D) an 80% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Davis +3.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Buckhout +2.2 and Davis +10.0. Polling average: Davis +6.9 across 7 polls. Incumbent: Don Davis (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+11.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works