Brian Miller vs. Troy Downing polls and 2026 forecast (Montana's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Troy Downing (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Downing +24.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Downing +31.0 and Downing +18.0. Polling average: Downing +20.2 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Troy Downing (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+30.5.
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