Michael Chiaradio vs. Michael Guest polls and 2026 forecast (Mississippi's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Michael Guest (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Guest +23.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Guest +31.1 and Guest +16.4. Incumbent: Michael Guest (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+29.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works