Bennie Thompson vs. Ron Eller polls and 2026 forecast (Mississippi's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Bennie Thompson (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Thompson +31.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Thompson +24.0 and Thompson +38.6. Incumbent: Bennie Thompson (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+20.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works