Josh Smead vs. Chris Stigall polls and 2026 forecast (Missouri's 6th District)
Our forecast gives Chris Stigall (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Stigall +31.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Stigall +39.8 and Stigall +23.2. Incumbent: Sam Graves. 2024 presidential result here: R+39.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works