Wesley Bell vs. Paul Berry polls and 2026 forecast (Missouri's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Wesley Bell (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bell +68.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bell +61.6 and Bell +76.1. Incumbent: Wesley Bell (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+58.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works