Betty McCollum vs. Paul Wikstrom polls and 2026 forecast (Minnesota's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Betty McCollum (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: McCollum +43.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between McCollum +36.7 and McCollum +51.3. Incumbent: Betty McCollum (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+36.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works