Kelly Morrison vs. Tyler Bass polls and 2026 forecast (Minnesota's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Kelly Morrison (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Morrison +30.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Morrison +22.7 and Morrison +37.2. Incumbent: Kelly Morrison (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+21.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works